Archive for September, 2012
Ohio Voter History: 77,000 voters registered in 2000 or before have no voting history
By Earl F Glynn | Franklin Center
Analysis of the 7.8 million Ohio voters shows 1.3 million have no voting history.
The voter history maintained by the Ohio Secretary of State shows in which of 39 statewide elections current voters have participated.
About 500,000 of the 1.3 million who have no history of casting a ballot registered to vote in 2011 or 2012, but a number of voters with or without voting history have not voted in years and are bloat in the voter registration file.
Almost 440,000 Ohio voters with voting history have not cast ballots since 2006.
For those without a record of previously casting a ballot, over 77,000 registered to vote in 2000 or before. Over 300,000 without voting history registered to vote in 2006 or before. More…
Ohio: Comparison of Registered Voter Counts to Census Voting Age Population
By Earl F Glynn | Franklin Center
A comparison of US Census voting age population data in Ohio to voter registration data shows two counties, Wood and Lawrence, have more registered voters than perhaps they should.
Numerically Wood and Lawrence have more than 100% of census voting age population registered to vote.
An additional eight Ohio counties have 95% or more of their voting age population registered to vote. More…
Technical Analysis of Ohio Voter Registration Files
By Earl F Glynn | Franklin Center
Ohio provides a unique opportunity to study voter registration data since the state’s voter file of 7.8 million voters is online and free.
This article describes an approach to analyzing the Ohio voter registration file using the R statistical analysis language.
The purpose of the analysis is to look for data quality problems in the data and look for evidence of how well the files are maintained by the various election boards in Ohio. More…
Montana: Comparison of Registered Voter Counts to Census Voting Age Population
By Earl F Glynn | Franklin Center
A comparison of US Census voting age population data in Montana to voter registration data shows two small counties, Carter and Treasure, have over 95% of their voting age population registered to vote.
Daniels County had 100+% of voting age population registered to vote from 2000 to 2010 and then in 2012 dropped more than 10% of its voters to have less than 90% registered now. What happened? More…
Technical Analysis of Montana Voter Registration Files
By Earl F Glynn | Franklin Center
This article shows how to analyze Montana voter registration files using R.
The Montana Secretary of State sells two files of voter registration records for a fee of $1000:
- Statewide Voter File
- Voter History File More…
Texas: Comparison of Registered Voter Counts to Census Voting Age Population
By Earl F Glynn | Franklin Center
A comparison of US Census voting age population data in Texas to voter registration data shows 18 counties with more voters than census voting age population. Another 5 counties have 95+% of the voting age population registered to vote.
Eight Texas counties have a history of over a decade with more voters than voting age population: Duval, Kenedy, Oldham, Roberts, Terrell, Trinity, Walker, Zavala.
Many counties show voting-age population growth higher than voter registration growth. A growing illegal immigrant population in Texas may be part of the explanation. More…